Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 209.993447 235.716372 264.097810 297.865204 337.113043 381.492756 435.755074
2025-04-13 164.362770 196.585106 235.068167 284.892886 348.391684 427.564056 535.263578
2025-04-20 148.338148 185.144795 231.537559 295.261041 382.036324 498.363649 670.122104
2025-04-27 137.677536 177.910829 230.922953 307.445069 417.746979 575.344858 825.961218
2025-05-04 125.742257 167.043712 223.436843 308.207772 436.318896 629.543899 957.333993
2025-05-11 113.655996 154.413360 211.706904 300.772607 440.836681 662.108374 1059.323933
2025-05-18 104.035256 144.182520 202.102545 294.912844 446.273765 695.910208 1168.730006
2025-05-25 99.534001 140.849743 202.108622 303.492576 475.463981 772.813235 1370.869750
2025-06-01 93.357470 134.400449 196.651446 302.506816 488.156659 822.502476 1531.475020
2025-06-08 86.919145 126.989316 188.963983 296.860540 491.721652 855.619916 1665.148114
2025-06-15 82.456154 122.280676 185.112117 297.176222 505.813236 910.570546 1858.352990
2025-06-22 77.181531 115.878621 177.946302 290.908051 506.686103 939.154820 1997.982895
2025-06-29 73.149771 111.315111 173.647114 289.652666 517.685675 991.838508 2213.712308
2025-07-06 67.469326 103.681336 163.608587 276.984074 504.629075 991.200575 2294.926182
2025-07-13 66.098953 103.119991 165.649367 287.013028 538.975450 1101.692062 2707.881945
2025-07-20 65.063602 103.029747 168.468016 298.775297 578.623729 1232.510186 3227.514673
2025-07-27 62.468467 100.055189 165.855739 299.511793 594.261120 1308.111350 3606.945114
2025-08-03 58.981739 95.297002 159.634245 292.333496 591.062899 1335.230198 3837.444247
2025-08-10 55.971984 91.212614 154.384907 286.675184 590.677059 1369.821126 4108.172204
2025-08-17 54.964577 90.661027 155.725436 294.959655 624.528742 1504.881816 4808.873038
2025-08-24 52.887896 88.031766 152.898297 294.007917 635.670163 1578.078594 5303.618497
2025-08-31 50.429703 84.563077 148.213373 288.556022 634.783575 1615.703519 5668.398390
2025-09-07 48.784950 82.520980 146.196604 288.860858 648.787874 1702.058426 6296.230325